Milestone bugzilla.mozilla.org bug 400,000 was filed on 2007-10-16 at 05:38 ZST by long-time Mozilla contributor ‘timeless’. Again. Of all the entrants in the 400,000 bug sweepstake, the person who guessed closest was Christian Schmidt, who guessed 2007-10-17 20:45 – over a period of nearly 6 months, he was only 1 day, 15 hours, 7 minutes out!
The runners-up were Wil Clouser (2 days, 8 hours, 22 minutes out) and Rob Marshall (2 days, 20 hours, 20 minutes out).
There were 47 entries. Of those, one person sent in an entry “2001-01-01 01:23:45 email@example.com”, and three people entered dates only a few days in the future! Christian’s entry was chronologically number 28; so there were about even numbers of people over and under-estimating.
I haven’t got my act together to sort out the swag yet; I’ll do that ASAP.
Lastly, because someone always gets this wrong: there is no correlation between the number of bugs in your bug system and the bugginess of your current product. If that were true, then every product we’ve ever made would have been getting steadily buggier since its inception, which is clearly nonsense. The number of bugs in a bug system is a function of the amount of time it’s been running (9 years), the number of products tracked (currently 5 major ones, with many other smaller ones and components), and the size, vibrancy and tenacity of the bug-filing community. So, everyone who’s ever filed a useful bug should give themselves a pat on the back.